Ceasefires are not a panacea. Here are 4 reasons to be concerned about the Israel-Hezbollah deal
THE announcement of a ceasefire deal between Israel and Hezbollah is welcome news for a region torn apart by more than a year of warfare. Hopefully, when implemented, the ceasefire will offer some respite for both Lebanese and Israeli civilians. The deal came into effect at 4 am local time on Wednesday. However, the previous 24–48 hours had seen a dramatic increase in violence on both sides. This is part of a well-established pattern in warfare in which fighting increases in intensity just before a ceasefire comes into force. My research has shown that while ceasefires may be the least-worst…
